Extreme heat pushes agrifood systems to the brink
Rome/Geneva (FAO/WMO) – Extreme heat events threaten the livelihoods, health and labour productivity of over a billion people. Agricultural workers and agrifood systems are on the frontlines.
- New FAO-WMO report assesses risks and identifies adaptation options
- Rising temperatures pose hazards to people, crops, livestock and fish
- Climate services inform adaptative measures such as selective breeding and crop choices
- Seasonal outlooks and early warning systems help farmers prepare for extreme heat
The frequency, intensity and duration of extreme heat events have risen sharply over the past half century, and the risks to agrifood systems and ecosystems are set to soar in the future, according to “Extreme heat and agriculture,” a new report from the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
“This work highlights how extreme heat is a major risk multiplier, exerting mounting pressure on crops, livestock, fisheries and forests, and on the communities and economies that depend upon them.” said FAO Director-General QU Dongyu.
“Extreme heat is increasingly defining the conditions under which agrifood systems operate,” said WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo.
“More than simply an isolated climatic hazard, it acts as a compounding risk factor that magnifies existing weaknesses across agricultural systems. Early warnings and climate services like seasonal outlooks are vital to help us adapt to the new reality,” she said.
The joint FAO-WMO report describes the physical science of extreme heat, the vulnerabilities, observed and projected impacts on agriculture, adaptation strategies, case studies, and offers policy recommendations.
It was released for Earth Day, which falls on 22 April, highlighting the interconnections between our changing climate, food security, agrisystem and ecosystem health.
Plants, animals, fish, trees and humans
The impact of extreme heat events is relative to the context of when and where they occur.
For the most common livestock species, stress begins at above 25 °C, and a bit lower for chickens and pigs, which are unable to cool themselves by sweating.
Fish can suffer cardiac failure as they struggle to maintain elevated respiration rates in waters where extreme heat events drive dissolved oxygen levels lower. In 2025, more than 90 percent of the global ocean experienced at least one marine heatwave, according to WMO’s State of the Global Climate 2025 report.
For most major agricultural crops, yield declines begin to occur above 30 °C – lower for some crops such as potatoes and barley. Evidence points to a strong correlation between heat waves and wildfires, with longer and more intense fire seasons.
Extreme heat also takes a toll on agricultural laborers. The number of days each year when it is simply too hot to work may rise to 250 per year in much of South Asia, tropical Sub-Saharan Africa and parts of Central and South America, according to the report.
The full danger of extreme heat lies not only in its direct impacts, but also in its role as a risk multiplier for water stress, flash droughts and wildfires, or fostering the spread of pests and diseases. The report offers a comprehensive look at such compound effects, including looking at less understood hazards, like flash drought, that are primarily driven by rapid rise in temperature.
Key recommendations
The report points to the need for innovation and the implementation of adaptative measures such as selective breeding and crop choices adjusted to the new climate reality, adjusting planting windows and altering management practices that can shelter crops and agricultural activities from the impacts of extreme heat.
Early warning systems are a particularly important tool in aiding farmers in their efforts to respond to extreme heat.
Access to financial services – cash transfers, insurance and payment schemes, shock-responsive social protection schemes and other forms – underpins all categories of adaptation options.
“Protecting the future of agriculture and ensuring global food security will require not only building on-farm resilience but also exercising international solidarity and collective political will for risk sharing, and a decisive transition away from a high-emissions future,” the report says.
Notes to Editors
For further information:
At FAO:
- Christopher Emsden, FAO News and Media (Rome), Christopher [dot] Emsden
fao [dot] org (Christopher[dot]Emsden[at]fao[dot]org) - FAO News and Media, (+39) 06 570 53625), FAO-Newsroomfao [dot] org (FAO-Newsroom[at]fao[dot]org)
At WMO:
- Clare Nullis, Press and Media Officer, cnulliswmo [dot] int (cnullis[at]wmo[dot]int). Phone (+41) 79-709-1397
The World Meteorological Organization is the United Nations System’s authoritative voice on Weather, Climate and Water.
For further information, please contact:
- Clare Nullis WMO media officer cnullis@wmo.int +41 79 709 13 97
- Global Communication and Engagement Media Contact media@wmo.int