Expert meeting to develop the Skills and Knowledge Framework for NWP

1.  OPENING – Chair: Yuki Honda

1.1 Welcoming remarks

• BMKG (TBD)
• Hamza Kabelwa (Chair of the Expert Team)
• Yuki Honda (WMO)

1.2 Roundtable introduction – All participants

2.  ORGANIZATION OF THE MEETING – Chair: Hamza Kabelwa

2.1 Adoption of the agenda

2.2 Working arrangements

3. OVERALL OVERVIEW OF THE NWP SKILLS AND KNOWLEDGE FRAMEWORK FOR OPERATIONAL METEOROLOGISTS –  Chair: Hamza Kabelwa

Discussion on the background, the purpose and scope, target audience, structure, and key terminology of the Framework to ensure a common and consistent understanding among participants, and to identify any missing content that needs to be addressed

Presentation: Progress of the development of the NWP Skills and Knowledge for Operational Meteorologist – Secretariat

4. REVIEW OF THE IDENTIFIED SKILLS AND KNOWLEDGE –  Chair: Hamza Kabelwa

4.1     Skill 0: Access and integration of required data  

Detailed review of accessing WIPPS products, observation and other related data , including its format and metadata interpretation. 

4.2     Skill 1: Assess recent model performance by interpreting verification statistics

Detailed review of the interpretation of verification statistics including strengths, limitations, and representativeness of different metrics.

4.3     Skill 2: Analyse observations and apply conceptual models to the current weather

Discussion on the integration of observational data and the application of 4-dimentional conceptual models to describe the current weather situation and identify existing or emerging hazards.

4. REVIEW OF THE IDENTIFIED SKILLS  AND KNOWLEDGE - continued –  Chair: Amin Erfani

4.4     Skill 3: Determine level of confidence in NWP output

Focus on integrating observations and conceptual models, comparison across NWP models and successive runs, and the use of ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) to assess confidence and uncertainty.

4.5     Skill 4: Diagnose causes of model departure from observations

Systematic analysis of model departures from observations, drawing on knowledge of model limitations such as resolution, boundary conditions, and representativeness of physical parameterizations.

                                                                             Wednesday, 28 January 2026

4. REVIEW OF THE IDENTIFIED SKILLS AND KNOWLEDGE - continued –  Chair: Hamza Kabelwa

4.6     Skill 5: Determine possible future outcomes

Focus on interpreting ensemble forecast system (EFS) output to identify plausible scenarios and associated probabilities. Assessment of predictability through ensemble spread and its relationship to the control run.

4.7     Skill 6: Formulate forecast policy and products

Review of the process for synthesizing information from Skills 1–5 to formulate forecast policy. Discussion on blending and manipulating model fields and communicating uncertainty through graphical and written forecast products.

5. REVIEW OF OUTSTANDING ISSUES AND FINAL EDITS –  Chair: Amin Erfani

Address remaining open questions, resolve inconsistent or conflicting contents, and apply final edits based on the outcomes of the three-day review. Ensure alignment across all skills.

6. MAPPING URLs TO THE FRAMEWORK - breakout session–   3 Group leaders

Identify and map relevant Framework-related URLs from RTCs, RTC-hosted trainings, and other known sources. Identify and discuss about the NWP related training courses scheduled in 2026 by RTCs.

Note: Members of the three groups will be announced at the meeting. Working materials will be distributed based on the outcome of Session 5.

6. MAPPING URLs TO THE FRAMEWORK - plenary –   Chair:  Amin Erfani

Report the outputs of the three groups, develop the consolidated mapping tables, and identify gaps along with strategies to address them.

                                                                          Thursday, 29 January 2026

7. REVIEW OF COMPETENCY REQUIREMENTS FOR IMPLEMENTING HIGH-RESOLUTION NWP SYSTEMS – Chair: Amin Erfani

Understanding of Cg-19 (Resolution 27) Requests regarding developing competency framework for implementing limited-area NWP systems (*Level 3-6) with reference to the Guidelines on High-resolution Numerical Weather Prediction (WMO-No. 1311)

Presentation: Introduction on Guidelines on High-resolution Numerical Weather Prediction - Secretariat

8. FOLLOW-UP PLAN: ESTABLISHING THE WIPPS LEARNING PORTAL BASED ON THE NWP SKILLS AND KNOWLEDGE ON A WMO PLARFORM – Chair: Hamza Kabelwa

Discussion of the follow-up actions required to establish the NWP Skills and Knowledge Training Site (to be referred to as the WIPPS Learning Portal) on A WMO Platform, covering content development, platform structure, governance, and implementation timelines

Presentation: TBD - Yuliana Purwanti

9. ACTION PLAN DEVELOPMENT – Chair: Hamza Kabelwa

An action plan with timeline, milestones, and responsible bodies/people will be developed in four areas: the Framework for forecasters, the Competency for NWP modellers, the approval of these two documents by WMO Constituent Bodies, and the establishment of the WIPPS Learning Portal.

10. ANY OTHER BUSINESS

10.1 VISIT OPERATIONAL FORECADTING ROO AT BMKG - Organized by Anni Arumsari Fitriany

10. ANY OTHER BUSINESS - continued – Chair: Hamza Kabelwa

10.2    Discussion on Integrating AI-Based NWP Predictions into the Framework