El Niño conditions have become established over the tropical Pacific, and it is very
likely that these will continue at least through the remainder of 2009 and probably
into the first quarter of 2010. The ocean surface and subsurface in the central and
eastern Equatorial Pacific has been substantially warmer than normal during June
and July, supporting the development of an El Niño event. Atmospheric conditions
across the tropical Pacific are increasingly showing patterns typical of a developing
El Niño event. The development of a basin-wide El Niño has implications for the
expected climate patterns in many parts of the world. This information is therefore
relevant to many climate-related risk management systems, and users are
encouraged to seek detailed interpretations for their locations and sectors.