Climate-Resilient Development Pathways in Metropolitan Regions of Europe (CARMINE)

Project background

CARMINE was developed and submitted by WMO and external partners in response to the EU Horizon Programme call ‘Modelling for local resilience - Developments in support of local adaptation assessments and plans’. The call noted that resources and tools to address adaptation at the local level are often scarce. To improve the support to local adaptation action it is essential to increase the availability, reliability, accessibility and resolution of climate information, in combination with non-climatic natural and anthropogenic drivers, at local and regional scale considering local specificities.’

Alongside fostering close connections with the EU Climate-ADAPT platform and the Destination Earth initiative, CARMINE was required to ensure the participation of social sciences and humanities research and perspectives into its project team and activities, and consider the involvement of citizens and societal actors. To secure funding, CARMINE’s team was required to demonstrate how the participation of social sciences and humanities research was key to addressing the socio-economic, decision-making and local governance aspects of the topic and the project goals. 

Objective(s)

The frequency and intensity of climate and weather extremes associated with anthropogenic climate change are increasing and will challenge us in terms of adaptation strategies at the local level. CARMINE bridges the local and regional scales by providing impact-based decision support services and multi-level climate governance supporting local adaptation, including both traditional and Nature-Based Solutions. CARMINE’s overarching goal is to help the metropolitan communities of Europe become more climate resilient, by co-producing knowledge-based tools, strategies, and plans for enhanced adaptation and mitigation actions in line with the Charter of the EU Mission on Adaptation to Climate Change by 2030.

To achieve this goal, focusing on the 2030-2035 timeframe and with longer perspectives up to 2050, CARMINE proposes an interdisciplinary approach aiming at (1) co-creation and co-development of decision-support services and guidelines for enhanced resilience and adaptive capacity, including early warning and disaster risk management systems; (2) cooperating closely with local to regional communities (stakeholders and users), decision-, and policy-makers (local authorities) to co-develop cross-sectoral frameworks for adaptation and mitigation actions; (3) delivering science-based R&I roadmaps for multi-level climate governance supporting local adaptation assessments and plans. 

The CARMINE methodology will be implemented in eight selected Case Study Areas across Europe to demonstrate proof of concept, and project methodology will be demonstrated through the digital replication of climate and socio-economic characteristics of each area. The co-created knowledge and transferable development pathways from CARMINE will be shared widely via project networks to drive adaptation in other metropolitan regions of Europe, and beyond. 

WMO will ensure that benefits, outputs, roadmaps, and policy actions or recommendations from CARMINE are fully shared with its RA-VI Members (national meteorological and hydrological services), not just those with CARMINE case studies in their national remit. 

Outputs

The project will deliver a range of outputs, including:

  • Co-created and co-developed decision-support services and guidelines for enhanced resilience and adaptive capacity, including early warning and disaster risk management systems
  • Co-developed cross-sectoral frameworks for adaptation and mitigation actions
  • Science-based R&I roadmaps for multi-level climate governance supporting local adaptation assessments and plans

Expected outcomes

  1. Support for implementation of the European Union (EU) strategy on adaptation to climate change and the EU Mission on adaptation to climate change by enabling better informed adaptation plans and strategies at both regional and local level in target (case study) countries and beyond.
  2. Strengthened science-based decision making when it comes to resilience and disaster risk management, including on the role of nature based solutions 
  3. Stronger local adaptive capacity in the selected urban areas across Europe
  4. Improved synergies between national, regional, and local EU Green Deal objectives, in particular adaptation action goals
  5. Better coordinated and more impactful research and innovation (R&I) activities on adaptation modelling and risk assessment
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Ongoing
Funding:
€ 587,000.00
WMO Long-Term Goal(s):
  • Climate Resilience and Adaptation
  • Disaster Risk Reduction
  • Capacity Development
  • Governance
Focus Area(s):
  • Early Warnings

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