Research reveals changing hail risks in a warming Europe

26 September 2025

Climate change may lead to less frequent but bigger and more devastating hail storms, new research has shown.

Climate experts from the Met Office, Newcastle University and the University of Bristol used European-wide km-scale simulations to model future changes to hail with global warming. Published in the journal Nature Communications, the study shows that, under a high-emissions scenario (RCP8.5), severe hail is likely to become less common, except potentially for very large hail.