El Niño/La Niña Update (July 2016)

The strong 2015-16 El Niño ended in May 2016. Since then, the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) indicators have remained at neutral levels. Climate models indicate that La Niña development is possible in the third quarter of 2016. If such an event does develop, current predictions indicate it is likely to be weak – for example, not nearly as strong as the most recent moderate/strong La Niña event of 2010-11.