Global Seasonal Climate Update for February-March-April 2026

Outlook for Oceanic Drivers for the Next Season: For February–April (FMA) 2026, below‑average SST anomalies in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific are forecast to weaken, indicating a gradual transition toward ENSO‑neutral conditions. Persistently above‑average SSTs in the western Pacific are expected to maintain a pronounced east–west gradient, continuing to reinforce La Niña‑like atmospheric patterns across the equatorial Pacific. The IOD index is also projected to weaken, moving toward near‑average conditions. In the equatorial Atlantic, SSTs in both the northern and southern tropical latitudes are predicted to be slightly above normal.