Vicious circle of climate change, wildfires and air pollution has major impacts

Global 2023 particulate matter concentration 

Particulate matter PM_2.5 (i.e. with a diameter of 2.5 micrometers or smaller) is a severe health hazard, in particular if inhaled over long periods of time. Sources include emissions from fossil fuel combustion, wildfires and wind-blown desert dust.

The WMO bulletin used two independent and different products to estimate global particulate matter (PM) concentrations: the Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration’s Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO).

Both products found that wildfires over North America caused exceptionally high PM_2.5   emissions compared to the reference period 2003–2023. 

Above average PM_2.5   levels were also measured over India, due to an increase in pollution emissions from human and industrial activities. 

By contrast, China and Europe measured below-average levels, thanks to decreased anthropogenic emissions. This continues a trend observed since the WMO Bulletin was first published in 2021. 

PM2.5 anomaly (μg m–3) in 2023 (reference period 2003–2022.

Generated from the CAMS reanalysis

NASA GMAO GEOS-IT reanalysis (https://gmao.gsfc.nasa.gov/ GMAO_products/GEOS-IT/)

NASA

Impacts of particulate matter on crops

Particulate matter has a major impact not just on health, but also on agriculture. It can reduce crop productivity in areas where maximizing yield is of crucial importance for feeding the population.

Global hotspots include agricultural areas in Central Africa, China, India, Pakistan and South-East Asia.

Experimental evidence from China and India indicates that particulate matter can reduce crop yields by up to 15% in highly polluted areas. It reduces the amount of sunlight reaching leaf surfaces and physically blocks leaf stomata which regulate exchange of water vapour and carbon dioxide with the atmosphere.

Agriculture itself is a major contributor to PM through release of particles and their precursors by stubble burning, fertilizer and pesticide applications, tillage, harvesting, and manure storage and use.

The WMO bulletin provides practical solutions, including planting trees or shrubs to physically shelter crops from local sources of PM, with added carbon sequestration and biodiversity benefits.

Wildfires

There were hyper-active wildfire seasons in both the northern and southern hemisphere in 2023. 

There are many different causes of wildfires, including land management and human actions (both accidental and arson). But climate change also has an indirect role by increasing the frequency and intensity of heatwaves and prolonging drought. These conditions heighten  the risk and likelihood of forest fires spreading, which in turn has a major impact on air quality. 

“Smoke from wildfires contains a noxious mix of chemicals that affects not only air quality and health, but also damages plants, ecosystems and crops – and leads to more carbon emissions and so more greenhouse gases in the atmosphere,” says Dr Lorenzo Labrador, a WMO scientific officer in the Global Atmosphere Watch network which compiled the Bulletin.

The 2023 wildfire season set a multi-decade record in Canada in terms of total area burned, with seven times more hectares burned than the 1990–2013 average, according to the Canadian National Fire Database.

Many large and persistent fires burned from the first week of May in western Canada (where it was unusually warm and dry) until the end of September. This led to  worsening air quality in eastern Canada and the north-eastern United States, particularly in New York City (in early June). Smoke was transported across the North Atlantic Ocean as far as southern Greenland and Western Europe. 

This resulted in cumulative total particulate matter and carbon emissions well above the annual average of at least the past 20 years. 

Monthly mean anomaly in total aerosol optical depth at 550 nm for June 2023 relative to June 2003–2022 https://ads.atmosphere.copernicus.eu/cdsapp#!/ dataset/cams-global-reanalysis-eac4-monthly?tab=overview

CAMS reanalysis of global atmospheric composition (2003–2023)

Central and southern Chile was struck by devastating wildfires in January and February 2023, with at least 23 deaths. More than 400 fires, many of them intentional, burned vast regions of plantations and woods. High temperatures and winds fuelled the fires in an area affected by a pervasive drought that has lasted more than a decade. The National Air Quality Information System recorded increased levels of all air pollutants in all stations.

As a result, the daily short-term exposure to ozone increased drastically at several monitoring stations. Chilean authorities declared a state of environmental emergency in various regions of central Chile.

“Concurrent observations of ozone, carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides and PM2.5 in central Chile exhibit the extreme detriment to air quality caused by intense and persistent wildfire events made more common in a warming climate,” write the Bulletin authors.

The Air Quality and Climate Bulletin also looks at:

Aerobiology. Accurate and timely information on concentrations of what is known as  "primary biological aerosols" (i.e. plant pollen, fungal spores, bacteria, etc), is in high demand from medical practitioners and allergy sufferers, agriculture and forestry industries, and climate change, biodiversity and air quality researchers, to name a few.

Bioaerosols play an important role in climate studies: vegetation is one of the most sensitive indicators of climate change. Biodiversity changes and plant flowering time, intensity and distribution patterns are all sensitive to meteorological conditions.

Over the past few years, and due to technological advances, new technologies have made it possible to obtain information on bioaerosol concentrations in real time. These new techniques open entirely new possibilities for the wide range of stakeholders interested in bioaerosols.